Research connected to data, risk and scenarios.
AER research is designed as an institutional workflow: evidence is sourced, indicators are linked, risks are explained, scenarios are tested and outputs are prepared for decision forums.
Macro and country research
Country briefs, regional outlooks, policy notes and data-driven macro commentary for African markets.
Risk and scenario notes
Research that explains risk movements, stress assumptions, market implications and committee actions.
Credit-quality intelligence
Technical assistance notes for institutions improving funding readiness, evidence quality and credit assessment outcomes.
Coverage organised around African market decisions.
Our research themes track the macro and institutional forces that shape investment, lending, policy and market-entry choices.
Debt, fiscal risk and market access
Refinancing pressure, fiscal credibility, borrowing costs, debt sustainability and investor communication.
Inflation, rates and currency pressure
Monetary policy, FX liquidity, imported inflation, reserve cover and external vulnerability.
Infrastructure, energy and transition risk
Project pipelines, public finance constraints, power-sector risk, climate pressure and bankability.